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CNBC
Sep 30, 2012 7:30pm EDT
of deep recession and deficits by more austerity when the economy is this weak. so i think europe's got a big problem, but for u.s. investors, i think we should take it with a grain of salt. i mean, europe is slow but we don't expert that much to europe. our financial system looks very strong. and i think u.s. consumer confidence at this stage is somewhat resilient to all these stories coming out of europe. i think it's a bigger story for europe than it is for the united states. >> in the united states we have a different set of worries. warnings from big american companies about their future earnings. we ended the third quarter and already heard from fedex, we heard from caterpillar, big global companies that are citing europe. caterpillar is citing china as well. what are you expecting out of the earnings period that we will begin to see in the next couple weeks? >> there is a slowdown going on in the global economy because you have this recession in europe then you have a slowdown in china, which is more significant than i think the chinese gdp numbers suggest. and that's ripplin
CNBC
Sep 28, 2012 4:00am EDT
year. and only 10 billion euros in spending cuts. that's the plan to reach the deficit target. that's the best case scenario because the budget is based on a growth assumption of 0.8% which seems to be far too optimistic. plenty of private economists believe the french economy won't grow more than 0.3% next year. in that case, the government will need to find an additional 5 feweuro of spending cuts on t of what will be announced today. the budget will include one very symbolic measure, new tax rate of 75% for people earning more than 1 million euros per year. it will be implemented only on around 2,000 people and it will raise only 200 million euros. so that's a symbolic measure that the prime minister has been clear already saying that it was a patriotic contribution to help the country recovery. also the government will confirm today probably that the bracket for the income tax in france won't be adjusted anymore to the inflation. that seems to be technical, but it means that with the same salary next year, people here will pay much more taxes than they used to pay. so basically, y
CNBC
Oct 2, 2012 2:00pm EDT
measures which eliminate a deficit in a short period of time. you need to gradually, year by year, reduce that deficit gradually. raise interest rates over time, in addition, need to focus from a fiscal standpoint on structural financing and structural investment that you know, this country sorely lacks. >> anyone have the will, the political will to be able to make those tough decisions right now? >> we will hear on wednesday in terms of the debates, i suspect not. the political will is divided is for their own team as for their own team, not necessarily for the united states. we are a little dour in terms of the ultimate prospects. >> matter who wins the president city for the markets? >> i don't thi so brian. i think basically what we have here is a large deficit that won't be reduced significantly. we have an easy fed that won't change its habits the next several years, the structural solutions required are five to ten years down the road. >> later on in the show, going to be talking about a mystery city that shall be unveiled that is going through its up potential minifiscal cliff, a
CNBC
Sep 26, 2012 7:00pm EDT
gdp. what he's referring to the fact we're not going to let this increase the deficit. and so the growth in revenues as a result of the economic growth is going to pay for that in part, and we're also going to make the tax system flatter and fairer and simpler which is something else conservatives have wanted, which is also pro-growth. and that's the part the governor is emphasizing. >> he says don't expect any big tax cuts. first of all, you guys ought to pledge to the middle class those middle brackets. i'm not talking about the upper. the upper should lose their tax deductions and everything should be on the table. but i'm talking about the brackets that are around 15% to 28%, jim. that's where the take home is going to rise. you ought to say we're going to leave your deductions alone. we're going to take it out of the high of the upper income people because we're giving them a big tax cut. the middle class, he shouldn't even suggest they're going to be tax deductions. i wrote a column about this. i said use reagan's slogan. use reagan's slogan. all right. take-home pay, that's
CNBC
Sep 25, 2012 2:00pm EDT
points, obama beats romney. rotate it one more time. on the deficit you can the one issue, by the way, romney is going to win, 73-6, worse, that is unbelievable, way off the charts. romney eeks out a gain here or a win within the poll's margin of error of 3 1/2%. one more thing i want to show you this is foreign policy in the news, the u.n. meeting in the news this week, america's standing on the world, 16% of americans worse off than four years ago, 44% think obama would be better for that issue in the next four years. why is this? let's take a quick look here. slightly better economic numbers? no our economic numbers show people think thing are about as lousy as they have been s it perhaps, next item, somewhat better stock market? not really. people don't think the stock market is that great. three reasons come up from our pollsters why this may be true. changes in racial support, personal appeal and tax issues. let me go through these real quickly. look at what happened in support from different racial groups here from our june survey to our september survey. latinos, bumped up by
CNBC
Sep 27, 2012 6:00am EDT
government is being left to try to foot the bill. they're trying to get the deficit down to 4.5% deficit. quite frankly, that is pie in the skil according to pretty much all the analysts and the economists. and it's just a question of how much they'll miss by. because this economy is enacting extreme austerity, and this debate is relevant whether it's obama or romney. is austerity actually denting growth, is it creating more problems than it solves. let me give you one example. we have a sales tax in this country that has been raised from 16% to 18% to 21%. that has created a slight inflation issue. now, pensions are inflation linked. and this country in november has to increase pension abouts by inflation. so by raising 2.5 billion euro v.a.t., it will cost them 3.5 billion euro misincreased pension costs. so you can see the conundrum. they're enacting enormous amounts of austerity, but that's denting an economy which is already in recession. its second since 2008. and things are getting worse. 25% unemployment, a million up sold homes. and we haven't even talked about the bank
CNBC
Oct 3, 2012 4:00pm EDT
to the federal government. that's a lot of revenue that could help with deficit, deficit reduction and our debt structure. the third piece of that is we could become more energy secure as a nation. today we're less reliant on outside sources. new technologies have allowed us to produce all the energy we'll need right here at home. if we create policies to allow us to use americans to create american energy, it'll benefit us all. those are the things that could be done immediately. >> so how come the administration isn't doing it, if it's that obvious these jobs can be created soon? >> well, it's unfortunate because i think their limitations on the industry is driven by, in my view, extreme ideology. it's driven by an irresponsible view that we can switch from one energy form to the other overnight. somehow, we can take the 62% of our energy in the u.s., which happens to be oil and natural gas, and just flip a switch and turn that to wind mills or solar panels. all energy forms are important to us, but the reality is it took us 100 years in the united states to get off wood as our p
CNBC
Oct 2, 2012 4:00am EDT
. senate will try to use the lame duck session to reach a comprehend len sif deal to cut the deficit instead of a short term solution. lawmakers will reportedly agree on a specific target likely around $4 trillion over ten years and they would vote to put off the automatic tax hikes and spending cuts set to take effect in january. but with the deficit coming down payment to signal how serious they are. jim, how sdw this get resolved? >> well, i haven't heard that sister, but that's what we've been picking up, that in the background of all these guys working on the deal already. soon after the election, our best guess is that there will be one. not too different from that story actually. >> qe-3 meanwhile, how does that play? does that continue to support lift asset prices? how do commodities get in the wash between slowing chinese growth and fed action? >> that's a good question. because i think it's a big one. i think we're not three weeks into qe-3 yet and the populous mind set of the markets is that we're done qe-3, let's move on to whatever's next. qe-3 is in my opinion very diff
CNBC
Oct 1, 2012 4:00am EDT
account deficit and that taps at 3.9%. was at about 4.5%. in the quarter gone by, there was a surplus of close to about $5 billion. and we just got the august trade data out, as well. imported out about 5.1%. and august trade data is more or less in line. on that note, it's back to you again. >> all right. thanks for that. gold a bit of a boost in the run up to qe being launched since -- >> yeah, consolidating. i guess we've seen a pretty positive correlation between qe and pursuing months. so i think we'll see it push higher. as we see the race to the base, it can only be good for the gold price and obviously an even more interesting place, the gold miners. >> i just want to point out this tie isn't because i'm long gold. it's actually because i'm supposed to be matching, see that, this is the -- >> you need to be in a blue tie. >> there's some yellow in there, fwr greg. should have worn a yellow shirt. >> next time. >> not that you should take any fashion advice for me. so what about the reaction to that chinese data? li has the details out of sync pore. >> asian markets were mostly
CNBC
Sep 27, 2012 4:00am EDT
euros worth of austerity built into it. that was designed to get the deficit levels right back to those iconic levels, but they missed on their deficit star get last year and they'll miss on this year. they're hanging on to #.5% bond you this believes if not reable because austerity on top of a recessionary environment is a toxic mix. >> the ecb saying spanish bank deposits down 1.1% on the month in august, which means they're now the lowest level since april 2008. and we've got a prime minister there who has effectively said to the markets come out and short me because we're not going to go for a bailout unless webo costs go higher. and he's trying to delay aid until after the catalonia elections. and that seems like a pretty thin tight rope to walk. loan i. >> and we'll get the report on just how much money the banks need. it is suspected it will be in the 60 billion plus. but the elections on october 21st, that's rajoy's own province. and then you have the cat lo loaniloa loanian region think they're the richest region giving too much to the others. the rest of the region has s
CNBC
Oct 3, 2012 7:00pm EDT
add money to defense and give a $5 trillion tax cut, that's going to blow a hole in the deficit. how is he going to talk credibly about that? how is he going to talk about obama when he's the grandfather of it by sponsoring romney care? >> it's a completely different policy right now. >> hang on one second. herman cain, you're still out there. if you can hear the conversation, we don't know the specifics of the tax cut plan, we don't know the specifics of the spending cut plan, there's no question that jim lehrer, who is a smart guy, is going to ask for specifics. can you help us out? and then you've got the obama care situation. it's amazing romney hasn't said that much about obama care. why is this? >> romney is the grandfather of obama care is just a bad rap. let me tell what you i know about the spending. i'm on a tour, i'm in my 11th city and we're on a tour and i'm going to be doing a debate listening party at arizona state university tonight. this will be the 11th university i've been to, i've had 11 lunches with business owners. let me tell you what the people understand that
CNBC
Oct 1, 2012 7:00pm EDT
treasury to sell trillions of dollars in deficits. >>> hundreds of mexicans are involved in the fast and furious. this is a terrible story, hundreds of mexicans may be involved. should attorney general holder be fired immediately over this new information? >>> the ism signals no recession, that's good. but is the obama-bernanke qe stimulus plan going to bail out the president in this election and what about down the road, does it give us a huge inflationary bubble? lee munson, he's chief investment officer of a port folio. you have got the feds blowing smoke and water and money at the stock market. we did have a good manufacturing report today, i like that because that's good for america. a lot of stuff that's not so good like jobs or unemployment. are you a bull or a bear? do you believe the market's going to go up or down? >> i believe it's going to go up, but the ism report, earlier this year we had bad job numbers and the market could lose steam going into the election, job numbers started to pick up all of a sudden, this manufacturing thing has been put to rest and it's going to
CNBC
Sep 27, 2012 4:00pm EDT
about the deficit? >> john, it's great to have you on the program. thank you so much. >> thanks, maria. >> john thain joining us as chairman and ceo at cit. let's get to brian shackman. >> fascinating to look at this. they beat on eps and revenue. the the revenue was 6.67. take a look at the stock. it is dropping and continues to drop. now down 4%. it's been a percent every two minutes during that thain interview. we were looking at margins, looking at china, and the u.s. margins were compressed. that's a negative. china was better than expected. that's not offsetting things. u.s. was better than expected. that's not offsetting things. europe was supposed to be up 3.4%. it was down 5%. they paid more in taxes. their sg&a means they're spending more than they're taking in. it's a mixed bag. >> all right, brian. thank you so much. meanwhile, we told you research in motion out with earnings. the stock is soaring in the extended hours trading session. what does that mean to investors in we have the analysis on r.i.m. next. >>> and would you spend twice your annual income? a shocking number
CNBC
Sep 25, 2012 3:00pm EDT
. mitt romney edges the president on who will be better to curb out debt and deficit. but the president is ahead on who's better to get the economy back on track. steve liesman is here with the disconnect. >> we've been puzzling over this all day. i want to show you the results we have from our national survey of 800 americans. take a look on the economy. who would be better over the next four years. first of all, we asked people, are you better or worse with compared to the last four years? no question here. 55 to 27 definitively, things are worse. what about who's better over the next four years? obama beats romney by nine point. that's more than other surveys out there. caution here, weak survey. other surveys more interested in the political side. they survey registered and likely voters. how about jobs? six to two, worse on jobs. who's better? obama wins. the one place where romney wins is as maria said, on the next one, on the deficit. overwhelmingly, people think the deficit is worse than it was four years ago. they're right. they say romney, only within the margin of error, whic
CNBC
Oct 2, 2012 1:00pm EDT
bring the deficit down to sustainable levels. europe has pledged to work in partnership with spain to make sure its banks get recapitalized and continue to afford a access the markets. we will see as they work in the partnerships the days ahead again, they have the tools and we see the political will on the part of the spanish go >> you watch spain, you just got back from china. i have a bunch of questions about china, stories in the paper, lael, in china is the first question, the second question is the republican nominee, mitt romney, has accused the obama administration of not being tough enough on china. the third question you have a report coming out october 15th on whether china is a currency manipulator. what are you going to say? >> well, let me just start with your first question. china's leadership team is undergoing a transition process and confront important questions how they are going to take forward their economic policy. steve, as you know, since day one, president obama's been extremely focused on achieving a more balanced relationship with china, one that create more
CNBC
Sep 28, 2012 4:00pm EDT
with a $16 trillion debt and $1 trillion a year deficit. >> medicare, medicaid, social security. fe forget about that. >> this is a no-brainer. first of all, look on your cell phone bill with the tliline tha says universal service fund or fee. you're paying for this. you need to call your member of congress, your senators, call anybody you can and tell them to get on board with killing this program. i have been shocked at how hard it's been to convince people. a lot of that's because people don't know. but you're helping educate them. >> on the cell phone, it says universal fee, universal services fee. that's the cost that taxpayers are paying so that low-income folks can get these phones. that's what we should be looking for. just to be clear, they're not just getting a free phone, but free service. >> it's the service. what happens is the government pays the service and the phones are often given by the provider. that's right. >> all right, congressman. great to have you on the program. we'll be watching this developing story. really an extraordinary one. good to have you on the p
CNBC
Sep 26, 2012 4:00pm EDT
to make three points. first of all, defense will and can make a contribution to deficit reduction. secondly, this is not the way. the sequester is the worst way to go about reducing defense spending. thirdly, the right way to do it is to go after taxes, raise tax revenue and cut the entitlement programs, which are driving long-term spending growth and debt creation in this country. it's not defense, which is on a relatively stable downward path. so, you know, i would agree that we need to cut our deficits. it's just the wrong way to do it. >> so what is the better way to do it? here we have, you know, automatic cuts coming, automatic tax increases coming. a lot of people predicting that 2013 will be a recession as a result of this. we haven't even heard from the defense companies in terms of how many jobs they're about to cut because of it. so what's the best way to do it? >> keep in mind nobody wants the sequester to happen. maybe chris and his colleagues at catos are an exception. the idea of a sequester is so awf awful, it would cut so deeply into spending, it should never happ
CNBC
Oct 2, 2012 7:00pm EDT
gilmore aka governor romney. what would you do to stop this borrowing binge. deficit larry mean that is you are spending more than you are taking in. there are two things that you can do. you have to look at the spending to determine what you have to hold on. you have to set a priority to control spending. in the second thing you must have a program to increase growth in this country and new revenue. that makes a lot of the decisions about spending easier. you get more money coming in. >> president, you have been accused by your critics of failing to deal with entitlement spending reform and basically trying to raise taxes as the only means of deficit spending. are those charges fair? >> absolutely not. we had a deal going. myself and mr. baynor until mr. can toter stepped in. what i could support is that we would have tax cuts and we would have cuts in the budget and in areas certain revenues and increased ed in taxes. it seems fair $1 of tax increases and $3 to $4 of cuts in the budget. >> 3, to $4 to $1. could you guy into that? do you think your fellow republicans could buy into
CNBC
Oct 3, 2012 9:00am EDT
wall street poll but swing states poll. you mentioned that mitt romney's closed the deficit among likely voters for obama from five points to three points. and in florida, he's closed from five down to one which is tied given the margin of error in our poll. in virginia, he has closed the gap from five to two. if you look at the state of ohio, a must-win state for mitt romney, mathematically possible for him to get to it without it but his strategists think he needs it. he needs to make progress there. but the fact that some of the national polls are coming back a little bit, some of the swing state polls are tightening, is a bit of an earn couragement for romney that he still has an opportunity for deficit with three or four points to change the dynamic in some way. he's got to hope that obama is not on his best game. you could have a scenario that like what happened in 2000 where george w. bush moved significantly without gore and ultimately became president. >> it's interesting that the poll also shows, as you mention, this 12% of swingable votes in the middle that he could pot
CNBC
Oct 3, 2012 2:00pm EDT
an even increasing level of deficit. if you think about how we're running our country right now, we have about a 10% deficit when you look at the revenues we're bringing in and expenditures we have. rising interest rates would only exacerbate that problem. all of the policymakers know that, both on the monetary side and fiscal side. >> that's kind of a scary thought when you think about it. you seem to be saying that bernanke or whomever may run the fed in the future is going to be behold ton lower rates not necessarily to help jump-start the economies as well as make sure we don't get swamped by our budget deficit, if rates went up, our interest payments would escalate dramatically. >> david, that's exactly right. we may not be able to jump-start the economy. perhaps the best we can do is keep it from going into a free fall. that's a reality we're all contending with right now. >> all trying to figure out where we put our money in that scenario. lee, that for your time. lee partridge from salient partners. back to you guys. >>> there is mounting evidence that housing is really star
CNBC
Sep 28, 2012 7:00pm EDT
the deficit and raise the tax rates on upper incomes of successful businesses, guess what it has not worked so far. if it was going to work, it would have already worked. so is this really obama's version of economic patriotism? let's talk. here's jimmy william and cnbc contributor of the american enterprise institute. what is so bloody patriotic about tax hikes, spending increases, regulatory increases and a lousy, worst economy since 1947? >> i'm worried what we will see in 2013 if the president wins is an economic patriot act. and part of it will be dramatically higher taxes on wealthier americans, entrepreneurs. anyone who thinks the end of the obama tax hikes are going to be raising it back to the clinton levels are crazy. you are going to see surtaxes, surtaxes on corporations. there's no way the obama spending numbers work without dramatically higher taxes far above what we saw in the clinton years. >> one of these things has my goat. obama talks about cutting tuition, you can't cut tuition if you expand student loans, is inflated tuition costs across the country and created a
CNBC
Oct 3, 2012 3:00pm EDT
revenue. his plan would probably explode the budget deficit. it's not a fiscally responsible plan. >> isn't it true, chris, that he has said he needs to work with congress in terms of going into the specifics of what those loopholes are? >> well, that's true. ultima ultimately, congress, in particular the house ways and means committee, would ultima ultimately write any major tax reform plan. my problem here is tax reform is supposed to be about simplification. i think romney's $17,000 cap would complex complex if i the . that would add a whole bunch of new leans to the 1040, which would make the code more complex. i think we should go to something like the paul ryan house plan he introduced a couple years ago which would eliminate virtually all deductions and credits and use the money to simplify the tax structure down to 10 and 25%. romney needs to be more bold here. his running mate has the bold ideas for tax reform. that's where we should be going here. >> you know, we've had various members of the house ways and means committee on this program in the last six months. almost t
CNBC
Sep 26, 2012 2:00pm EDT
what's called a high structural deficit. that means we need to, you know, over the next few years, maybe five to ten years reduce our structural deficit by 1.5 trillion dollars a year. that's a lot of heavy lifting. you know, can we do that? perhaps. but the united states has gotten itself into a corner in terms of high debt level. it may lower real economic growth going forward. >> we didn't even bring up a picture of wimpy, the cartoon character you referred to in the last note. we'll look at the next one coming up shortly. >> thank you. >> certainly europe is a big part of the story again. another massive protest under way in spain. demonstrators railing against deeper austerity cuts. let's go to cnbc's own steve sedgwick in madrid. what's the situation on the ground? >> yeah. on the ground in this part of madrid we are just waiting to see if we see a recurrence of the violent scenes we have seen in the last 24 hours. scenes i have seen too much in greece and basically people are protesting against the kind of austerity that we know has to come if this country will get itself b
CNBC
Sep 26, 2012 6:00am EDT
meet their deficit taxes, so now they have less tax revenues, so now they have to do it all over again. what i think is funny is that rajoy has said out loud i'm only going to look for a bailout if our interest rates go up. >> and interest rates have not gone up. >> draghi does him a big favor. so he says well, i'm going to wait and see until if i really need it. when you're running the country, you're not going to ask for a bailout until you start to be choked again by the bond market. >> 6%, is that the number? is it 7%? >> i've been told 8% for spain. and these countries really can hold out for a long time. they just have to make very, very hard choices. if they seek a program which is esfs and draghi step in to start buying their debt thark can go on far very, very, very long time. greece is going along just doing tea bills every two weeks. >> what's strange is how europe goes away and the markets here forget about it for weeks at a time and then all of a sudden it's back on the play. >> i think that -- the reason it went away is draghi took cataclysmic events off the table. so the
CNBC
Sep 25, 2012 4:00am EDT
they now have a pension deficit. that's nonsense, of course. what's happening on the corporate side? they're awash with capital. are we also getting less issuance and how much more money do corporates need to have? >> what's interesting is the eurozone credit market is shrinking year on year which is the first time it's done that for a long time. there's not only less issuance, there's less coming out to meet, retiring effectively. corporates as kelly said earlier, the economic outlook is not rosy. the motivation to carry out m&a activities is relatively low. so i expect the trend to continue. >> and the quality they're issuing isn't all that great either. >> the good quality have all the cash they need. so, you know, they don't need any who are. >> most of them have the cash. i think the good quality borrowers can borrow really easier. there's huge 2k3457demand for h the spreads are tight. >> angela merkel and mario draghi are both delivering speeches in berlin today. organized by the bdi which represents large and small enterprises, the day of industry is intended to encourage dia
CNBC
Sep 28, 2012 6:00am EDT
meet its 2013 deficit target. and fitch is lowering its 2012 growth forecasts both for china and india. citing deteriorating outlook of the global economy. so not a great way to start the morning. >> no, not great, but i like seeing what we did -- i saw ge and i was going to tell whoever thinks that we need to kiss up to them still -- >> minority partner. >> they are. but comcast would have been a better -- or we could have done both. and did i see something that it had first quarter, second quarter, third quarter? what do i need in the fourth quarter to get to the 30%? do we hahave that anymore? is that gone? no, they don't have it. >> i saw the dow, s&p and nasdaq. >> what did it add up to? adds up to like 15 or so. >> i just saw for this quarter. >> oh, it didn't show first quarter, second quarter -- >> no. >> there are corporate headlines. people started getting plaq blackberries? >> they beat expectations. >> they lost money, they beat expectations. >> but they added subscribers. >> subscribers in developed countries. the point is a developing -- in the developing countries,
CNBC
Oct 1, 2012 6:00am EDT
$80 billion. >> $80 billion? >> it's like 80 build per year. and we need to cut -- close the deficit by a trillion. we got a trillion dollar deficit and it raises like -- i think it's less. maybe 40 billion. >> are you correct, it's not sufficient. >> and he's not talking about anything else. you can keep your entitlement, keep this -- he's not talking about doing specific things with entitlements. >> you're right to this extent. he's not talking specifics on entitlements. >> it's mostly we'll tax rich people so that -- or people that make over 250 and you'll basically get to keep everything including the phones. >> joe, i thought you either wanted to talk about the last minute kick that a billy -- >> i didn't see that. oh, the redskins. >> or my terrific story on debates in the "new york times" this morning. >> it was between piece. it was a very good piece. >> i did see that. >> thank you. let me recap. >> you didn't even mention the bengals beat the redskins. >> i was going to if you brought it up. and congratses on the reds, too. they have tied the nationals for best record in ba
CNBC
Oct 2, 2012 6:00am EDT
with the deficit, is that going to be spun positively if they're working on it or more fearmongering that something really heinous will go down. >> okay. so keep sticking with what's working for now. we'll keep an eye on this. but kevin, thank you. you always keep us up-to-date on everything happening down there. >> one more quick thing i'll say. watch silver. a lot of popularity in it. we didn't get an outright sell signal, but we got very bearish divergences for silver when it made a new high yesterday. trading over $41 on ebay for silver coins. well over the price in the marketplace. so watch out for that. could be an actionable trade. >> okay, kevin. thanks for the tip. >>> if you have any questions, comments about anything you see here, squawk@cnbc.com. coming up, the chicago teachers strike back in the headlines this morning. we'll find out why next. and then ian poulter's in the building. attention golf fans ever where. >> look at that. every player's name. unbelievable. >> got to be careful. >> i don't want to lose if because it's mine. >>> welcome back. the chicago teachers
CNBC
Oct 3, 2012 6:00am EDT
doesn't resolve the question about how do you keep the code without increasing the deficit. but it's a promising proposal that tax policy exports like because it is achievable. now, if you lump the deductions together and don't fight them one by one and have a cap, that is easier to get done. >> on that 17,000, a, do you think we're going to hear about it tonight? does that include things like charitable deductions, mortgage deductions? how far do you think that goes? >> reporter: yes, it does. >> 17,000 cap across the board. that is meaningful. that would have a huge impact on the real estate market, it would have a huge impact broadly. >> reporter: yes, i believe from what i was reading yesterday, and i haven't gotten a chance to delve into it that $17,000 level was set purposefully because people in the under $200,000 income category generally speaking don't have more than that, right? but it makes it easier to begin taking on deductions as you move up the scale. so i do think it's positive. i would expect him to get asked about it and, you know, if he starts sketching out a little
CNBC
Oct 1, 2012 4:00pm EDT
of thoughtful choices to reduce our deficit and avoid sequestration. >> go through it for us. because, you know, i guess if it were that easy, it would have been a lot simpler getting to the point where we're at. can you talk to us specifics about what you think should be cut? >> sure. that's what we wanted to do in this report. it's more than $100 billion in agriculture, more than $100 billion in energy, and as i said, in agriculture, commodity crop payments, reforming crop insurance. in energy, we'd like to eliminate the entire tight. 17 loan guarantee program which includes the loan guarantee, you know, the program that brought you solyndra. we'd like to eliminate subsidies that have gone to the oldest and most profitable energy sectors, from the intangible drilling costs to the allowance for last in, first out accounting which actually affects more than the energy sector, but it's just a boondoggle for taxpayers in the u.s. it's not something that's allowed by international accounting stanstandards. in the defense sector, there's a real opportunity for savings by reducing
CNBC
Sep 27, 2012 1:00pm EDT
. >> learning latin, by the way. >> he's concerned about iphones and budget deficits. but you see britons as something very different, somebody unlike yourself, which is not true. >> it means great charter. >> i saw that. >> all i know is corpus christi is a town in texas. i don't know what it means. habeas corpus? jon, you're a lawyer. what does habeas corpus mean? >> i don't know. >> there's a lawyer, he doesn't know. and he's not even british. how do you like that? anyhow, moving on to the next one, right? sears and darden restaurants offering cash to buy their own health plans. the company says it's not to save money. yeah, right. but do give workers more control. i always like that when they put it in there as a more controlled kind of thing. >> that's not the purpose of an employer, to give you more control. so you know at some level this is about saving money for the company. so what that means is over the long term health care costs are going to shift to employees. this is happening in a lot of big companies. they're considering -- >> here's what our yahoo.com poll says, finance.yaho
CNBC
Sep 27, 2012 3:00pm EDT
. they're buying the entire deficit. >> do you think he's right? >> it's an important thing. you don't want to get into what we call the fiscal dominant regime where the fiscal authority or the congress and the president, they're borrowing a lot of money and the fed's role is to keep the interest rates low. that will end in tears. that is a bad policy. i'm fairly certain that none of my colleagues on the fomc are interested in going that direction. we're going to pursue monetary policy that is the right one for the nation, but it's not one that's trying to enable irresponsible fiscal policy. >> what are you hearing from business managers out there today? one of your colleagues said many times business managers are holding back from spending because of the uncertainty. they don't know what tax rates are going to be next year. do you agree with that? >> yeah, there's no question. my business contacts say the same thing here around the eighth district. the uncertainty around the future tax situation is serious. the uncertainty around the future of the u.s. economy is a serious damper on invest
CNBC
Sep 27, 2012 2:00pm EDT
deficit. in it a proposed $51 billion spending cut next year, including an average 12% cut in government ministerial spending, a freeze in public pay for the third consecutive year, and a new 20% tax on lottery winnings. now, it does give something to the people. protection for pensions. well, bob pisani just happened to get back from spain, and he sent out his always interesting morning notebook. bob, i loved this one in particular because you basically said that what we keep quoting as a jobless rate in spain may be bunk, that people are simply working under the table? >> yeah, i'll give you an example. 25% unemployment is what they're talking about. but i had a landlord in barcelona. rented an apartment for one week. they asked for the payment in cash. they didn't want a check, didn't want anything else. my point is the bars lonens don't necessarily believe that. i wasn't in madrid, but in barcelona they're gripped by their own kind of secession of the fever. they're thinking of reseeding -- or seceding from spain. it's crazy. i was there for this la mers festival. a celebr
CNBC
Sep 26, 2012 3:00pm EDT
of deficits. >> what happened last week when the german high court made their decision in everyone thought, this is great. now the ecb can do what they need to do. everything's going to be good. that's not the way it is at all. >> i want to tell the ceo of i-cap is making it happen. they will ask for help, won't they? those conditions are being negotiated right now. >> at some point they have to. it's still that delay, that uncertainty. we've also had a very nice run here. we're over 20% above where we were a year ago. it's not natural to have these low pull backs from time to time. >> this 3% full back from 1475 to now is like a 3% pull back. not the end of the world, but certainly something the market needs to do in order to test the support. >> you told us in the last segment that your asset allocation broadly speaking is about 61% stocks, 39% bonds. the bonds scene is something of a safe haven play here. what about those who feel that the tremendous low yields we're seeing means we're in something of a bubble? artificial bubble, maybe, forced by the fed's hand. arguably, they'r
CNBC
Sep 27, 2012 12:00pm EDT
see that the surpluses are going to be smaller or, in fact, result in deficits. those are markets that we're looking for to identify. >> kathleen, thanks for coming on. >> thank you for having me. >>> coming up, our top three trades of the day. find out which companies made the cup. plus, research in motion, dead or alive? we'll take the company's vital signs after this. shares tumbling 69% over the past year. >>> and where citigroup's head of global real estate is seeing the most upside potential. we'll hear from tom. halftime report returns right after this. sometimes investing opportunities are hard to spot. you have to dig a little. fidelity's etf market tracker shows you the big picture on how different asset classes are performing, and it lets you go in for a closer look at areas within a class or sector that may be bucking a larger trend. i'm stephen hett of fidelity investments. the etf market tracker is one more innovative reason serious investors are choosing fidelity. get 200 free trades today and explore your next investing idea. want to try to crack it? yeah, that's t
CNBC
Sep 26, 2012 12:00pm EDT
spanish deficit to 4.77% of gdp and spending is out of control and they are going to have a budget released on friday and that's really all kind of spinning together. overlay that with the potential that moody's could down grade the country to junk sometime this week and that's what i was looking for. >> does anybody care what moody's thinks any more? >> i think it adds fuel to the fire. >> when the u.s. got downgraded our interest rates went down, right? i am not sure that that has a big effect anymore, at least, what's your trade and what are your levels? >> right. so i was looking for a pullback in europe. we got it to the 128.50 level. that's why i wanted to buy. this is a medium term trade. i am giving it room on the downside and the 150 stop-loss and tray profit were the highs were 1.3150. on the upside is blew through it hard and should be support on the way back down. >> do you think the rally was just short covering? >> a lot of it had to do with short covering and it is basically a situation where you are eliminating the tail risks for europe with the euro currency breaku
CNBC
Sep 25, 2012 7:00pm EDT
the deficit problem and these protesters are unhappy with the cuts that have happened. they don't want to see more of them on thursday. they need to do something. back to you. >> who are these people in the streets? >> that is a good question. most protests that you see in europe are orchestrated by the unions. this was more about younger people being out there. this was not organized by the unions even though they have been activity with protests in madrid as well. they have unemployment that is extremely high. >> live from madrid, spain. none of this seems to be scaring off veteran money manager, ken heebner. we'll hear this story in a few moments. please stay with us. >>> well, the pictures in spain contributed to the sell-off today. the dow dropped down to over 100 points. ken, great to have you. let me just have you, does it throw a monkey wrench into your optimistic monkey view? >> no. i think they are all agreed on a program to have more them doing the os teterity they are doing, they are going to support the ability of these countries to stay in the euro joazone. >> very i
CNBC
Sep 28, 2012 9:00am EDT
companies to slash the deficit. will the wealthy flee in response? first rick santelli is working on the next hour of "squawk on the street." hey, rick. >> hi, carl. you know, yesterday when the spanish budget came out people on the floor were running around. i grabbed one of my sources and said hey. do they like it? he goes they must. stocks have rallied. when did the stock market become the validation for all economic fundamentals? we know that quantitative easing distorts stock prices. this is the topic. the real topic is lest we forget because there have been stock markets in the past like the nasdaq that have important lessons for us to learn and we'll go over all of that at the top of the hour. [ horn honks ] hey, it's sandra -- from accounting. peter. i can see that you're busy... but you were gonna help us crunch the numbers for accounts receivable today. i mean i know that this is important. well, both are important. let's be clear. they are but this is important too. [ man ] the receivables. [ male announcer ] michelin knows it's better for xerox to help manage their financ
CNBC
Sep 26, 2012 4:00am EDT
aren't going to help, it's only going to make it more difficult to meet deficit targets. it's only going to make it more difficult to work down that debt to gdp ratio when the denominator is also shrinking. >>> while we focus on spain and yields rising, we do have the result of this italian tea bill auction. the six-month bill auction, the yield, 1.503%. it was 1.58% at the end of august, the lowest since march. there is a contrast here between what is happening with italian auctions and spanish auction. we saw earlier this week, the spanish bill auction yields up since august. they continued to fall. they are still going lower in italy. once again, maybe the market price differently in italy and spain. >> even though italy has key elections coming up next year, we're hearing some rhetoric as to whether or not he's going to run. of course he didn't run last time, but nevertheless, here's someone who -- the potential for this event and to mark an uncertainty. italy still viewed more favorably. >> i didn't see if they rais raised -- did you see the amount? >> looks like they went for a nin
CNBC
Sep 25, 2012 5:00pm EDT
last decade. inherited a budget deficit of $27 billion. we've whittled that thing down. we're almost at balance. to get over the finish line, we need more income. that can come from the highest income earnings and one penny on a $4 purchase. that's the small sales tax. what's good about this, people get to choose. they can say no to those taxes, then we've got to cut. you can't take blood out of a turnip, as they say. we need the revenue to put into the schools or else. the people say no, i get it, and we'll manage austerity and we'll do it the best way we can. >> last question. so you say that gets us over the finish line, but doesn't the whole system need to be fixed in california with costs rising that got us here in the first place? >> oh yeah. that's why we have pension reform. we just had a dramatic change in reform in our workers compensation, and yeah, there's plenty. you find a lot of people in businesses, in churches, in universities and schools. they got flaws. and guess what, government's got some flaws. so the problems are never fully solved. got to keep at it. i've been
CNBC
Oct 3, 2012 1:00pm EDT
? 33% say creating jobs. 13% say reforming the tax code. 33% say reducing the federal deficit. 6% say health care. 15% say i don't really care. fascinating. >>> let's see what's coming up on street signs. mandy? >> okay. we're going to take a look at why oil prices are dropping for all the wrong reasons on street sign. yeah, we might get cheaper gas eventually, but at what cost to the global economy? >>> then, we're going to debate what is better for your money, an obama win or a romney win. >>> plus, the one thing that wall street wants to hear at tonight's debate. >>> and later on, american airlines says all the seats are fixed. >>> lots of things coming up at the top of the hour. back to you on "power lunch." >>> the world's top asset managers and investors are meeting today to discuss the economic landscape and how to navigate it. our david faber is with them at the barefoot economic summit in larue, texas. >> i've joined by founder, cio of golden tree house and management. they're in bank loans, they're in bond, distressed investments, private equity structured products. cre
CNBC
Sep 28, 2012 1:00pm EDT
country's plan to bring down its deficit. so which other countries have super-high tax rates? and what are the implications here in the u.s., robert frank? >> reporter: well, franco francois allan brought bad news for the french today. this increases their tax rate from 48% to a whopping 75% income tax rate. this would apply to people who make more than 1 million euros a year. and france now by far has the highest income tax in the world. if you look at this chart you see france there at number one, second place is aruba followed by sweden, 56%. then the u.s. way down on the ranks at number 35. sort of in the middle of the whole list with its again 35% top tax rate in the u.s. early estimates said this 75% tax rate would only affect around 30,000 taxpayers. but i've been on the phone with a lot of french tax lawyers this morning. they said the number's far lower. maybe only 2 to 3,000 people in france would actually pay this tax. the reason is that this tax really only applies to salary and ordinary incomes. it doesn't apply to capital gains, interest income, dividend, what we would ca
CNBC
Sep 28, 2012 2:00pm EDT
election we have a truth deficit in this country. and so don't sort of move around your statement saying we're out to produce the best products. are you? because what it sounds like to me is you're out to have the solid monopoly in apple product, you're sort of outpacing google now. and you're not doing it well. >> i know we've got to go. louis c. case said? >> you remind me of him. >> oh, god. but you're sitting in an airplane seat flying in a tin can at 30,000 feet and you're complaining because you don't have wi-fi. >> i know. >> you're in a can in the air. and you're traveling through space and time. and you're worried about no wi-fi. i don't know if i'm making the point or not. >> you're apple. >> i agree. too many outlets. >> the standard is high. >> the standard is high up and yes, too many outlets. >> i need an mimosa now after that rant. >> good job. >> was a drink named after you? >> the flower. the national flower of australia. >> yeah, waddle. what we call a waddle. you call it mimosa. >> mine apparently is the cactus. prickly country. >>> let's get a market flash now
CNBC
Oct 2, 2012 9:00am EDT
dealt with the budget deficit in a meaningful way and did deal with the issues? one thinks the uncertainty cloud goes away. if it doesn't, there's something else going on. >> i was referring to a sorkin column arguing that a lot of the p.e. firms have to use this money in the next few months. pretty lofty money when you talk about price times, even at dow, right? >> i'm surprised there hasn't been more activity from private equity. they need to put the money to work or god forbid to give it back. that's not something they want to do. they can borrow fairly well. maybe not to the size overall of the deals percentagewise, but incredibly generous terms and we have not seen the kind of deals we may have anticipated. i know andrew wrote about that today. >> i'm pro-law on "mad money" as the large real estate trusts are getting industrial use in warehouses. he said something really interesting, you know what? we are finally running out of space. we are going to have to start building. nobody's building anything. don wood and comes, we are almost out of shopping centers, we have to st
CNBC
Sep 26, 2012 9:00am EDT
that work for america and how we can cut the deficit and champion small business. i think you have seen a good amount of policy from our campaign and i expect over the coming weeks you will be hearing more. >> and people obviously will be looking for specifics. for instance, i know i am not going to get you to talk about what specifically or how the romney administration would make up for lost revenue, but when it comes to questions like get asked a lot in business circles like the mortgage interest deduction, can we take that off the table or call it safe? >> i think what governor romney said is first of all he is not interested in raising taxes on anyone, particularly during this difficult economic time. i think particularly for middle income taxpayers there are priorities like a tax priority for homeownership that is quite important, but the reality is if you're going to get to tax reform, which we're committed to doing, you have to look at the entire scope of tax expenditures and that's something that we have said repeatedly. ultimately, this is about leadership and what candid
CNBC
Sep 25, 2012 9:00am EDT
. first t.a.r.p., auto industry, stimulus, home modification and the deficits are going up, up, up. so i blew a valve on it. what would it be like to have this president with a lame duck scenario where he has no governor, where he can do without the notion that he has to get re-elected again. do you see this as a big market issue, in terms of dividend taxes, obama care, taxes and higher fees there? >> i most certainly do. i think he's going to try to push his agenda. some people want to look back too the clinton years when he lost big time in the midterms just as obama did. >> november '93. >> clinton gave ground. obama has given no ground. i don't know there's any indication he'll give any ground this time. that's a big mistake if that's the case. i hope not. but it appears that's a real possibility. >> how times have changed. i thought mitt romney had a bit of a -- he could do a bit of a "saturday night live" skit, he had some good laughs there, but think about al gore, vice president to clinton, how often did he use president clinton when he was campaigning in 2000? >> times do
CNBC
Sep 25, 2012 6:00am EDT
could make on the meter which is about in the 10% to 15% range. the deficit, the one issue of the eight categories where romney wins it but look at the huge margin. 73% of the public says it's worse than four years ago. flthis side, romney has a slight edge thank you for going backward, brian. one other issue i want to show you here, america's standing in the world, a lot of talk with the u.n. and issues of foreign policy, overwhelming margins americans think our standing in the world is worse than it was four years ago. flip on over, who is better? obama, 44-32, again, romney's support never goes above about 38% but that neither remains around 10, 11 or 12%. i want to show you the three categories where americans say things are not worse, stocks, 34% say things are better than they were four years ago, that's really interesting. i'll get more into this at 10:00. the s&p over the past four years is up 80% but only 34% of americans say their stocks are better. wages are even, 28% say better, 28% say worse, 42% say the same and this one, i thought this was interesting, personal heal
CNBC
Oct 3, 2012 4:00am EDT
a 14-month high. minors slumped following a short rise in the trait deficit. india now higher by .2%. >> up next, uk drinks maker have been given an extinction to survive. that's up next. >>> and now for a fluffy news story. we don't always get to do this. looking at pictures of cute animals may actually increase workers' concentration and productivity. that's according to researchers at the university of hiroshima. does your cute puppy or cat increase your productivity? if you want to join the conversation, get in touch with us by e-mail, via twitter, and i'm also on twitter as well. >>> the french president is facing some pest problems. a small group of entrepreneurs are making headlines in france with the protest against a jump in capital gains tax, calling themselves the pigeons, that's french surveillance for the fall guys. their viral campaign has attracted thousands of followers on facebook and twitter. let's get out to stephane in paris who's been following the pigeons. always sounds more attractive in french. holland is facing no shortage against the tax rises. >> they are
CNBC
Sep 27, 2012 9:00am EDT
and get the deficits back on track and get the economy back on track and get the pay masses of germany and the ecb off their backs. and the bond markets. all other things did not remain equal, and the economy continued to contract. the bond markets have begun to sell off now. and the pay masters say we need more austerity. for a country that's in deep recession that has 25% unemployment, 50% youth unemployment and a recessionary environment since december last year, that is a bitter pill to swallow. it is a bitter pill literally on the ground where i'm standing because for the last two nights, the public have protested. we've seen behind me these barricades which are blocking the entrance to the parliament for the protesters over the last 24 hours. that is where we saw the rubber bullets and indeed around thousands of protesters just bemoaning their luck in what is a tough environment. what will rajoy try and do next? we're talking about another bout of taxes, some saying 40 billion euros worth of spending cuts and tax hikes, but there are real red lines which rajoy could step
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